The world of cryptocurrencies can be a tricky field to navigate for the uninitiated.
— “Those are among the more visible recent fruits of a well-funded campaign by Mr. Orban in the United States that stretches back a decade and now stands as a case study in how governments around the world seek to shape policies and debates in Washington, sometimes raising concerns about improper foreign influence in U.S. politics.”
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Recent proposed legislation could make it easier for the IRS to find cases of tax evasion when it comes to crypto, though investors should already keep records of any capital gains or losses on their crypto assets. But the new rules may also make it easier for investors to properly report crypto transactions.
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Long-term holders, who have held their Bitcoin for more than 12 months, are reluctant to spend their coins, according to Glassnode’s “The Week On-Chain” report. Another positive is that investors continue to withdraw coins from centralized exchanges whose share of supply has dropped to a new record low at 12.9%.
Although you can create another private key and start accumulating cryptocurrency again, you can’t recover the holdings protected by your old, lost key.
New short-term investors who are selling their holdings in reaction to the drop may be influencing the continued dip in Bitcoin’s value, according to a recent report from Glassnode Insights, a blockchain analysis firm.
“Regulation is probably one of the biggest overhangs in the crypto industry globally,” says Jeffrey Wang, head of the Americas at Amber Group, a Canada-based crypto finance firm. “We would very much welcome clear regulation.”
On the downside, the zone between $67,000 and $63,750 is likely to act as a strong support. If this zone is breached, it will indicate that traders may be aggressively booking profits. The pair may then drop to the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ($56,348).
We set the stage for our formal econometric analysis by providing some graphical evidence. For example, in Figure 1, we see a close mapping of the prices of Bitcoin and Ethereum with their respective computing power values. Moreover, in Figure 2, we observe an even stronger mapping of the prices of Bitcoin and Ethereum with their respective network values. Interestingly, these graphs also show that when prices significantly exceed the trend in computing power or network (as was the case in late 2017), prices eventually fall and trace the trend in fundamentals. The convergence of prices to the trend with fundamentals suggests that fundamentals are the ultimate, long-run determinants of prices.
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Watching the trading patterns is key. Observe the market for a few weeks to get a feel of how the coin reacts to certain times of the day and week, and how it responds to market news and key events. This will help you work out patterns of trading, and how to limit losses and maximize gains.
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Notes: This figure plots weekly averages of log price and log computing power (log hashrate) of Bitcoin and Ethereum over the period from August 2015 to January 2019. We normalise both time series by subtracting their mean and dividing by the standard deviation.
Bitcoin is a good indicator of the crypto market in general, because it’s the largest cryptocurrency by market cap and the rest of the market tends to follow its trends.