The pair could first drop to $4,146.30 but if this support also gives way, the correction could reach the psychological support at $4,000.
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We’re certainly in a much different place now than we were 12 months ago. What was a hot commodity has turned into a hot potato nobody wants to touch. Still, this almost certainly won’t be the end for bitcoin, or cryptocurrencies as a whole. Despite the realization that it was a bubble, even the toughest critics see some sort of a future.
In order to provide a methodology to detect bubbles in time series, Phillips, Wu, and Yu [23] proposed the supremum augmented Dickey-Fuller (SADF) test. This applies a series of right-tailed unit root tests to expanding windows of a time series (with a fixed start date), defined by where r2 is the final data point to be considered in each window, starting at r0 which is a fraction representing the smallest allowed window size and expanding to 1(the complete data set).